Let’s analyze the Falcons’ Thursday Night Football matchup with the Patriots, as we look at the three best player props to bet. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have a history that includes the highest of highs and the lowest of lows. The franchise has won two Super Bowls but also went 0-14 in its inaugural season in 1976. Coming off his first three-touchdown game of the season, we look at how Jones will fare when the Patriots take on the Falcons.
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AA is less likely to be drawn out on compared to JJ . The added benefit of checking with AA is that you give your opponent courage to bet turn with his 9x, 7x, or 6x hands. Also, BB might even lead into you on the turn with KJ or QJ because your check seems weak. You had initiative on the flop and decided to check. From the BB’s perpective, you appear weak so they could bet turn and hope to pick up the pot.
You don’t necessarily have to bet on a game or event right before it starts. Many betters place a wager on a team to win the Super Bowl before the season even starts. In many prop bets, you can bet on something that isn’t listed.
The smallish CB could be viewed as a “please call me” bet, but most of BB’s range completely misses the flop. BB has to be concerned that they are way behind on this flop, so most sensible players will just fold and look to play the next hand. XR a backdoor flush draw is burning money, and their really isn’t many draws. So the xR is trips or an overpair, which represent a small percentage of hands in their PF calling range.
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